Moderate
candidate secures surprise victory in race to succeed Mahmnoud Ahmadinejad with
just over 50% of the vote
The Guardian, The Observer, Saeed Kamali Dehghan, Saturday 15 June 2013
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| Hassan Rouhani shows his inked finger after casting his ballot on Friday in southern Tehran, Iran. 72% of the 50 million eligible Iranians turned out at the polls. Photograph: Abedin Taherkenareh/EPA |
Iran was on
the brink of an extraordinary political transformation on Saturday night after
the moderate cleric Hassan Rouhani sensationally secured enough votes to
succeed Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
Rouhani's
apparent victory delighted many reformers in Iran who have been desperate for a
comeback to the forefront of Iranian politics after eight acrimonious years
under Ahmadinejad.
It will
also lift the spirit of a nation suffering from its worst financial crisis for
at least two decades due to the unprecedented sanctions imposed by western
powers in the dispute over Tehran's nuclear programme.
Rouhani, a
moderate figure favouring political openness and re-establishing relations with
the west, is likely to sooth international tensions. He has been described by
western officials as an "experienced diplomat and politician" and
"fair to deal with".
The
interior minister, Mostafa Mohammad-Najjar, announced on state television on
Saturday night that 72% of the 50 million eligible Iranians had turned out to
vote, and that Rohani had secured just over the 50% of the vote needed to avoid
a run-off.
Rouhani, a
PhD graduate from Glasgow Caledonian University and former nuclear negotiator,
has positioned himself as a moderate, favouring talks with the west. He has
pledged to find a way out of the current stalemate over Iran's nuclear
programme, which is the root cause of the sanctions crushing the economy.
Responding
to the announcement that Rouhani had been elected president, a Foreign and
Commonwealth Office spokesperson said: "We note the announcement that
Hassan Rouhani has won the Iranian presidential elections.
"We
call on him to use the opportunity to set Iran on a different course for the
future: addressing international concerns about Iran's nuclear programme,
taking forward a constructive relationship with the international community,
and improving the political and human rights situation for the people of
Iran."
In reaction
to a likely Rouhani victory, the Iranian currency, the rial, recovered its
value against the dollar by at least 6% on Saturday.
"It is
good to have centrifuges running, provided people's lives and livelihoods are
also running," Rouhani said in a television debate during the campaign.
During Rouhani's term as a nuclear negotiator, Iran appeared more cooperative
to the international community and in the run-up to Friday's poll he repeatedly
pointed out that on his watch Iran's nuclear dossier was not referred to the UN
security council.
Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, has made clear he will consider any vote
as a vote for the Islamic republic but on Friday many of the electorate said
they would vote to avoid any risk of Rouhani being defeated by conservatives
close to Khamenei. Political analysts interpreted arch-conservative
presidential candidate Saeed Jalili's defeat as a no-vote on Iran's current
nuclear policy.
The
authorities had initially said they would begin to reveal results just after
2am local time on Saturday, but it was not until at least four hours later that
Mohammad-Najjar appeared on state-run television to begin announcing the
results.
At the
previous vote in 2009, which many claim was rigged, the final results were
announced far quicker.
"It
has taken them seven hours to count 800,000 votes while four years ago they
counted almost 30 million votes in few hours," one Tehran resident said.
"It might be a good sign that actually this time they're really
counting."
Analysts
believe rigging was less likely this year because Ahmadinejad is not running
and the government has not endorsed any of the candidates.
The
endorsement of Rouhani earlier in the week by reformist leaders Mohammad
Khatami and Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani injected last-minute excitement into the
race, boosting Rouhani's chances. The 65-year-old was the only cleric among the
six presidential candidates.
Meir
Javedanfar , an Iranian politics lecturer at the Inter-disciplinary Centre in
Israel described the results as "total and absolute surprise".
"Based
on the 2009 results, which many including myself believe were falsified, the
expectation was that Rouhani's genuine votes would not be counted, as his views
do not seem to be in line with Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps and the supreme
leader, just like [opposition leaders] Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karoubi's
views were not," he said.
"If
Rouhani wins in the first round, it would be a clear sign that after the 2009
uprising, the supreme leader has learned that his regime needs to regain its
legitimacy, and that will only come from counting the vote of the people."
Former
foreign secretary Jack Straw knows Rouhani and described him as "warm and
engaging".
"This
is a remarkable and welcome result so far and I'm keeping my fingers crossed
that there will be no jiggery-pokery with the final result," he said.
"What
this huge vote of confidence in Rouhani appears to show is a hunger by the
Iranian people to break away from the arid and self-defeating approach of the
past and for more constructive relations with the West."
He added:
"On a personal level I found him warm and engaging. He is a strong Iranian
patriot and he was tough but fair to deal with and always on top of his
brief."
Speaking to
the Observer, Seyed Hossein Mousavian, Rouhani's deputy on Iran's national
security council from 1997 to 2005, and a spokesman for Iran's nuclear
negotiating team, said the results showed Iranians are desperate for
"change".
"The
public support of Mr Rafsanjani and Mr Khatami and withdrawal of Mohammad-Reza
Aref from the race had a major role in Rouhani's win," he said. Khatami
and Rafsanjani played a significant role in Rouhani's victory by holding off
declarations of support and persuading Aref to drop out to avoid a split vote.
"Hardliners
remain in control of key aspects of Iran's political system, but centrists and
reformists have proven that even when the cards are stacked against them they
can still prevail due to their support among the population," Trita Parsi
of the National Iranian American Council said.
The turnout
for Friday's vote was so high that polling stations stayed open for five hours
longer than planned.
Speaking
after casting his vote in Tehran, Khamenei had urged for a mass turnout to
rebut suggestions by American officials that the election enjoyed little
legitimacy.
"I
recently heard that someone at the US National Security Council said 'We do not
accept this election in Iran'," he said. "We don't give a damn."
Among those
voting was Ebrahim Yazdi, secretary-general of the Freedom Movement of Iran, a
banned group that is critical of the system.
"Today's
election is about choosing between bad and worse," he told the
semi-official Mehr news agency. "Voting is a national duty and a right
given to you by God."
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