guardian.co.uk,
Patrick Wintour, political editor, Thursday 21 June 2012
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| President Bashar al-Assad could be given clemency if he agrees for a UN-backed political transition in Syria. Photograph: AP |
Britain and
America are willing to offer the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, safe
passage – and even clemency – as part of a diplomatic push to convene a
UN-sponsored conference in Geneva on political transition in Syria.
The
initiative comes after David Cameron and Barack Obama received encouragement
from Russia's President Vladimir Putin in separate bilateral talks at the G20
in Mexico.
A senior
British official said: "Those of us who had bilaterals thought there was
just enough out of those meetings to make it worth pursuing the objective of
negotiating a transitional process in Syria."
With daily
reports of civilian deaths and the conflict apparently taking on an
increasingly sectarian hue, Britain is willing to discuss giving clemency to
Assad if it would allow a transitional conference to be launched. He could even
be offered safe passage to attend the conference.
One senior
UK official said: "It is hard to see a negotiated solution in which one of
the participants would be willing voluntarily to go off to the international
criminal court." It was stressed Cameron had not made a final decision on
the matter.
During
talks at the G20, British and American officials were convinced Putin was not
wedded to Assad remaining in power indefinitely, although even this limited
concession is disputed in Moscow.
On the
basis of these discussions, the US secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, will
now seek to persuade the former UN secretary general, Kofi Annan, to change the
format of his plans to construct a contact group on Syria, and instead host a
conference using the transition on Yemen as the model.
In the case
of Yemen, the president, Ali Saleh, was granted immunity in February despite
the massacre of civilians. His deputy, to whom he ceded power, is drawing up a
new constitution.
Participants
would include representatives of the Syrian government, leading figures in the
opposition, the five permanent members of the UN security council and key
figures in the region, such as Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Russia has been
pressing for Iran to be able to attend.
The
meeting, under Annan's chairmanship, would be held by the end of the month with
an objective of establishing a broader-based government leading to elections in
18 months time.
British
officials said: "We do not think it makes sense to invite the Iranians for
a number of reasons. We are under no illusions about this and are entirely
realistic about the prospects of this happening. It may come off. It could
capsize on whether Iran gets invited or not. But it is worth a try given the
gravity of events there."
Cameron
said on Tuesday Syria was "in danger of descending into a bloody civil
war" and there was little time left to act.
As an
alternative the US might go for a tougher UN security council resolution on
sanctions, but the prospect of a no-fly zone, overcoming Russian objections, is
not regarded as realistic.
It also
emerged that Cameron confronted Putin over arms supplies and had been
personally involved in plans to prevent a Russian-manned shipment of three
repaired attack helicopters and air defence systems reaching Syria.
The ship,
the MV Alead, returned to Russia after UK insurance was withdrawn on Monday.
It emerged
that Cobra, the government emergency committee, held secret sessions last
Thursday, Friday and Monday at which options to stop the shipment were
discussed, including discussions with the Dutch government to stop the ship on
the basis that it was flying under the Dutch Antilles flag.
Cameron was
updated on the process while at the G20 summit in Mexico and had at one point
been willing to consider ordering the ship to be boarded had it continued down
the English Channel.
Russia is
not party to any arms embargo and claims the opposition are being armed by the
Saudis.
US and UK
intelligence had identified the cargo on the ship as well as false documention
about its destination. The ship turned back after insurance was withdrawn
following UK government pressure. The EU arms embargo on Syria will now be
tightened up to cover insurance.

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